Billy Elekana vs Iwo Baraniewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Iwo Baraniewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Billy Elekana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1652
If they win+21→ 1737
If they lose-27→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Billy ElekanaIwo Baraniewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iwo Baraniewski60%
Billy Elekana 40%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 60% favorite over Billy Elekana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Iwo Baraniewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1666, a 50-point edge.
Billy Elekana enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Billy Elekana finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Iwo Baraniewski 100%.
Billy Elekana and Iwo Baraniewski share 2 common opponents: Junior Tafa and Ibo Aslan.
Billy Elekana carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.