Billy Quarantillo vs Jacob Kilburn
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Billy Quarantillo78%
Jacob Kilburn 22%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Billy Quarantillo a 78% favorite over Jacob Kilburn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Billy Quarantillo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1528, a 141-point edge.
Billy Quarantillo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jacob Kilburn enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Billy Quarantillo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Kilburn 75%.
Jacob Kilburn carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record8-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach72,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Billy Quarantillo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jacob Kilburn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1676
If they lose-17→ 1652
If they win+22→ 1550
If they lose-10→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Billy QuarantilloJacob Kilburn