Combat Edge Intelligence

Billy Quarantillo vs Jacob Kilburn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record8-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach72,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie Tampa SouthTeamHarris Holt Combat Sports

What's at stake

Billy Quarantillo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jacob Kilburn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Billy QuarantilloNow 1668
If they win+7→ 1675
If they lose-17→ 1651
Jacob KilburnNow 1527
If they win+22→ 1549
If they lose-10→ 1517

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.44
Sig. strikes / min
2.56
55%
Strike accuracy
34%
5.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.78
43%
Strike defense
35%
1.47
Takedown avg.
0.51
2%
Takedown accuracy
6%
61%
Takedown defense
20%
1.02
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Billy QuarantilloJacob Kilburn
15501600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
5 (28%)
Submission
2 (25%)
5 (28%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Billy Quarantillo82%
Jacob Kilburn 18%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Billy Quarantillo a 82% favorite over Jacob Kilburn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Billy Quarantillo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1527, a 141-point edge.

Billy Quarantillo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jacob Kilburn enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Billy Quarantillo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Kilburn 75%.

Jacob Kilburn carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.