Billy Quarantillo vs Kyle Nelson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record17-7-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach 71"
145 lbsWeight149 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Billy QuarantilloKyle Nelson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Billy Quarantillo59%
Kyle Nelson 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Billy Quarantillo a 59% favorite over Kyle Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Nelson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.
Billy Quarantillo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Billy Quarantillo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Nelson 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.