Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Southworth vs Josh Parisian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record15-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
228 lbsWeight266 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamScorpion Fighting System

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bobby SouthworthNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Josh ParisianNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.40
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
25%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.88
66%
Strike defense
41%
1
Takedown avg.
0.98
50%
Takedown accuracy
33%
65%
Takedown defense
46%
0
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Bobby SouthworthJosh Parisian
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
2 (20%)
Submission
2 (13%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bobby Southworth and Josh Parisian within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1575), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Bobby Southworth finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Josh Parisian 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.