Bogdan Grad vs Muhammad Naimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record13-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
ETTL Bros. MMATeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Bogdan Grad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Muhammad Naimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1708
If they lose-17→ 1676
If they win+17→ 1680
If they lose-15→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GradMuhammad Naimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bogdan Grad55%
Muhammad Naimov 45%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Grad a 55% favorite over Muhammad Naimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Bogdan Grad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1663, a 30-point edge.
Muhammad Naimov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bogdan Grad finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.