Combat Edge Intelligence

Bogdan Grad vs Muhammad Naimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bogdan Grad
at

Bogdan Grad

“The Unleashed”

15-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1677Good

Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
ETTL Bros. MMATeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bogdan GradNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Muhammad NaimovNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
2.61
52%
Strike accuracy
41%
5.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
49%
Strike defense
45%
4.22
Takedown avg.
1.69
41%
Takedown accuracy
36%
75%
Takedown defense
68%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Bogdan GradMuhammad Naimov
1650170020242025

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
3 (20%)
Submission
2 (15%)
3 (20%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bogdan Grad and Muhammad Naimov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1679), separated by just 2 points.

Bogdan Grad enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bogdan Grad finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.