Muhammad Naimov vs Bogdan Grad

Jun 21, 2025 · ESPN+

DateJun 21, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueBaku Crystal Hall

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 21, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 3:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 12:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 8:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 9:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Muhammad NaimovHillman |13-5-0Muhammad Naimov vs Bogdan GradBogdan GradThe Unleashed |16-4-0

Muhammad NaimovHillman13-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

13-5-0Record16-4-0

32Age31

5'9"Height5'8"

70"Reach70"

146 lbsWeight145 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Bogdan GradThe Unleashed16-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Bogdan Grad owns a 30-point Elo edge (good). Bogdan Grad shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Muhammad Naimov and Bogdan Grad across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Muhammad NaimovBogdan Grad

Recent form

Muhammad NaimovL L W W L · -20 Elo last 5

LLWWL

Bogdan GradW L L W W · +4 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Elo edge

Muhammad Naimov1663-16 last move

Bogdan Grad1693+16 last move

Why they are ranked here

Muhammad Naimov#129 of 375 active Featherweight fighters · 1663 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jamie Mullarkey (rated 1673 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss: Lost to Felipe Lima (rated 1693 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -20 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #128 Hamza Kooheji, 1 ahead of #130 Maximus Lally.

Bogdan Grad#84 of 375 active Featherweight fighters · 1693 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Dennis Buzukja (rated 1618 at the time): +16.
Costliest loss: Lost to Tom Nolan (rated 1612 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +4 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #83 Shane Collins, 0 ahead of #85 Jordan Leavitt.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Muhammad NaimovNow 1663 · #129 Featherweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1680

Loses by decision-15→ 1648

Bogdan GradNow 1693 · #84 Featherweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1708

Loses by decision-17→ 1676

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Muhammad NaimovvsBogdan Grad

Takedown accuracy

0%vs41%

Takedown average

1.49vs4.22

Sig. strikes landed per min

2.51vs4.06

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.35vs5.06

Finishing profile

Muhammad NaimovKO/TKO leads 46% of wins

Bogdan GradKO/TKO leads 56% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Muhammad NaimovBogdan Grad

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.51Sig. strikes landed per min4.06

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

41Sig. strike accuracy52

UFC featherweight average : 46%

3.35Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.06

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

45Sig. strike defense49

UFC featherweight average : 54%

1.49Takedown average4.22

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

0Takedown accuracy41

UFC featherweight average : 29%

68Takedown defense75

UFC featherweight average : 55%

0.17Submission average0

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

6Wins by knockout9

2Wins by submission4

5Wins by decision3

2Losses by knockout2

1Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision2

Muhammad Naimov vs Bogdan Grad is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HILL VS ROUNTREE JR. Muhammad Naimov enters with a 13-5-0 record and Bogdan Grad enters with a 16-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.