Bolaji Oki vs Chris Duncan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
73"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Da Vinci FightingTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Chris Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Bolaji Oki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1630
If they win+12→ 1734
If they lose-20→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bolaji OkiChris Duncan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Duncan67%
Bolaji Oki 33%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Duncan a 67% favorite over Bolaji Oki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Chris Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1642, a 80-point edge.
Bolaji Oki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bolaji Oki finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Chris Duncan 73%.
Bolaji Oki carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.