Brad Riddell vs Drew Dober
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record29-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach70″
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
City KickboxingTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Drew Dober is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brad Riddell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1634
If they win+10→ 1711
If they lose-14→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad RiddellDrew Dober
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Drew Dober66%
Brad Riddell 34%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Drew Dober a 66% favorite over Brad Riddell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Drew Dober holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1648, a 53-point edge.
Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brad Riddell finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Drew Dober 76%.
Brad Riddell and Drew Dober share 1 common opponent: Renato Moicano.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.