Brad Riddell vs Jamie Mullarkey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach74"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
City KickboxingTeamBangtao Muay Thai & MMA
What's at stake
Brad Riddell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jamie Mullarkey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1663
If they lose-17→ 1631
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad RiddellJamie Mullarkey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jamie Mullarkey59%
Brad Riddell 41%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Mullarkey a 59% favorite over Brad Riddell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Riddell's way (48%).
Brad Riddell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1631, a 17-point edge.
Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brad Riddell finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Mullarkey 72%.
Brad Riddell and Jamie Mullarkey share 1 common opponent: Jalin Turner.
Jamie Mullarkey carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.