Brad Riddell vs Rafael Fiziev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach71"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
City KickboxingTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Rafael Fiziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Brad Riddell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1636
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-20→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad RiddellRafael Fiziev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Fiziev87%
Brad Riddell 13%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 87% favorite over Brad Riddell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Rafael Fiziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1648, a 82-point edge.
Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brad Riddell finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.
Brad Riddell and Rafael Fiziev share 1 common opponent: Renato Moicano.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.