Brad Riddell vs Renato Moicano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
71"Reach72″
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
City KickboxingTeamFirst Fight Center
What's at stake
Renato Moicano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brad Riddell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1636
If they win+9→ 1752
If they lose-15→ 1728
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad RiddellRenato Moicano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renato Moicano75%
Brad Riddell 25%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Renato Moicano a 75% favorite over Brad Riddell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Renato Moicano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1648, a 95-point edge.
Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brad Riddell finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.
Brad Riddell and Renato Moicano share 2 common opponents: Jalin Turner and Drew Dober.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.