Brandon Davis vs Rafael Aronov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-13-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
72"Reach-
135 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon DavisRafael Aronov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Davis63%
Rafael Aronov 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Davis a 63% favorite over Rafael Aronov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1579), separated by just 6 points.
Brandon Davis enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rafael Aronov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Brandon Davis finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Aronov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.