Brandon Hashimoto vs Ryugo Takeuchi
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Hashimoto54%
Ryugo Takeuchi 46%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Hashimoto a 54% favorite over Ryugo Takeuchi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Brandon Hashimoto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1545, a 111-point edge.
Brandon Hashimoto enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ryugo Takeuchi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Hashimoto finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ryugo Takeuchi 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record5-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-Reach75"
231 lbsWeight215 lbs
What's at stake
Brandon Hashimoto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ryugo Takeuchi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1667
If they lose-21→ 1635
If they win+31→ 1576
If they lose-17→ 1528
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon HashimotoRyugo Takeuchi