Ryugo Takeuchi vs Brandon Hashimoto

Nov 18, 2026 · Internet PPV

Combat Edge model forecast50%Ryugo Takeuchi50%Brandon HashimotoFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 18, 2026

DivisionHeavyweight MMA

StatusScheduled

VenueEBARA WAVE Arena Ota

BroadcastInternet PPV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Wednesday, November 18, 2026 — watch on Internet PPV.

US East (ET): Wed 3:30 AM
US West (PT): Wed 12:30 AM
United Kingdom: Wed 8:30 AM
Central Europe: Wed 9:30 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 7:30 PM
Your time

Ryugo Takeuchi5-3-0Ryugo Takeuchi vs Brandon HashimotoBrandon Hashimoto8-2-0

Ryugo Takeuchi5-3-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

5-3-0Record8-2-0

23Age28

6'1"Height6'2"

75"Reach-

215 lbsWeight231 lbs

Heavyweight MMAWeight ClassHeavyweight MMA

Brandon Hashimoto8-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Brandon Hashimoto owns a 111-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Ryugo Takeuchi and Brandon Hashimoto across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Ryugo TakeuchiBrandon Hashimoto

Recent form

Ryugo TakeuchiL L W L W · -31 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Brandon HashimotoW W W W L · +44 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Elo edge

Ryugo Takeuchi1545-34 last move

Brandon Hashimoto1656+12 last move

Why they are ranked here

Ryugo Takeuchi#160 of 191 active Heavyweight fighters · 1545 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Stephane Coignon (rated 1522 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ben Tynan (rated 1520 at the time): -34.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -31 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #159 Ezayah Gomez, 3 ahead of #161 Mikio Ueda.

Brandon Hashimoto#66 of 191 active Heavyweight fighters · 1656 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ryuya Fukuda (rated 1675 at the time): +37.
Costliest loss: Lost to Dong Hyun Bae (rated 1500 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +44 Elo in total.
Next places: 4 points behind #65 Thomas Petersen, 1 ahead of #67 Pouya Rahmani.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

50%Ryugo Takeuchi50%Brandon Hashimoto

Model favoriteRyugo Takeuchi

Elo baseline35% for Ryugo Takeuchi

Matchup adjustment+15 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Ryugo TakeuchiStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Brandon Hashimoto leads the full model at 50%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 15 points.

Current Elo ratings1545 · 1656Brandon Hashimoto leads by 111 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1544 · 1527Ryugo Takeuchi faced the stronger recent schedule (8 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth8 · 11 fightsBrandon Hashimoto has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Ryugo TakeuchiNow 1545 · #160 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+31→ 1576

Loses by decision-17→ 1528

Brandon HashimotoNow 1656 · #66 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1667

Loses by decision-21→ 1635

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Ryugo TakeuchivsBrandon Hashimoto

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Ryugo TakeuchiKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Brandon HashimotoKO/TKO leads 75% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Ryugo TakeuchiBrandon Hashimoto

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 1.41

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 0.45

5Wins by knockout6

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision2

2Losses by knockout1

1Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Ryugo Takeuchi vs Brandon Hashimoto is a scheduled Heavyweight MMA fight on ONE SAMURAI 5 : PACIO VS YAMAKITA. Ryugo Takeuchi enters with a 5-3-0 record and Brandon Hashimoto enters with a 8-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.