Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
23-10-2Record14-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 23 rated
What's at stake
Brandon Moreno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joseph Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1759
If they lose-13→ 1735
If they win+18→ 1732
If they lose-14→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoJoseph Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno60%
Joseph Morales 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 60% favorite over Joseph Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Brandon Moreno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1714, a 34-point edge.
Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joseph Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Brandon Moreno finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Morales 71%.
Brandon Moreno and Joseph Morales share 1 common opponent: Deiveson Figueiredo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinTKO - Doctor's Stoppage · 2023
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
WinSubmission · 2021
LossKO/TKO · 2018