Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-10-2Record14-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Brandon Moreno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joseph Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1767
If they lose-14→ 1743
If they win+19→ 1721
If they lose-13→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoJoseph Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno84%
Joseph Morales 16%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 84% favorite over Joseph Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Brandon Moreno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1757 to 1702, a 55-point edge.
Brandon Moreno finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Morales 71%.
Brandon Moreno and Joseph Morales share 1 common opponent: Deiveson Figueiredo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinTKO - Doctor's Stoppage · 2023
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
LossKO/TKO · 2018