Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record23-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Factory XTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Manel Kape is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Brandon Royval carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1711
If they lose-10→ 1687
If they win+14→ 1764
If they lose-18→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon RoyvalManel Kape
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manel Kape75%
Brandon Royval 25%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Manel Kape a 75% favorite over Brandon Royval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Manel Kape holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1697, a 53-point edge.
Brandon Royval enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brandon Royval finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Manel Kape 87%.
Brandon Royval and Manel Kape share 1 common opponent: Matheus Nicolau.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.