Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record23-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Factory XTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Manel Kape is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Brandon Royval carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1724
If they lose-11→ 1700
If they win+14→ 1765
If they lose-18→ 1733
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon RoyvalManel Kape
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manel Kape63%
Brandon Royval 37%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Manel Kape a 63% favorite over Brandon Royval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Manel Kape holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1711, a 40-point edge.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brandon Royval finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Manel Kape 87%.
Brandon Royval and Manel Kape share 1 common opponent: Matheus Nicolau.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.