Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape

Jun 28, 2025 · PPV

DateJun 28, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastPPV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 28, 2025 — watch on PPV.

US East (ET): Sat 10:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 7:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 3:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 4:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Brandon RoyvalRaw Dawg |18-9-0Brandon Royval vs Manel KapeManel KapeStarboy |23-7-0

Brandon RoyvalRaw Dawg18-9-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

18-9-0Record23-7-0

34Age32

5'7"Height5'6"

68"Reach 68"

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Manel KapeStarboy23-7-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Manel Kape owns a 41-point Elo edge (great). Brandon Royval shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Brandon Royval and Manel Kape across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Brandon RoyvalManel Kape

Recent form

Brandon RoyvalW L L W W · +17 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Manel KapeW W W W L · +75 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Elo edge

Brandon Royval1711+14 last move

Manel Kape1752+24 last move

Why they are ranked here

Brandon Royval#19 of 195 active Flyweight fighters · 1711 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Matheus Nicolau (rated 1715 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss: Lost to Alexandre Pantoja (rated 1721 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +17 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #18 Marcos Degli, 6 ahead of #20 Alessandro Costa.

Manel Kape#9 of 195 active Flyweight fighters · 1752 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Kyoji Horiguchi (rated 1821 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Muhammad Mokaev (rated 1765 at the time): -12.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +75 Elo in total.
Next places: 4 points behind #8 Rei Tsuruya, 0 ahead of #10 Sergio Pettis.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Brandon RoyvalNow 1711 · #19 Flyweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1724

Loses by decision-11→ 1700

Manel KapeNow 1752 · #9 Flyweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1766

Loses by decision-18→ 1734

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Brandon RoyvalvsManel Kape

Submission average

1.08vs0.24

Takedown accuracy

75%vs20%

Takedown defense

45%vs79%

Takedown average

0.65vs0.36

Finishing profile

Brandon Royvalsubmission leads 56% of wins

Manel KapeKO/TKO leads 65% of wins

Common opponents

Matheus Nicolau Brandon Royval: win · KO (Knee and Elbows) · Apr 15, 2023Manel Kape: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Apr 27, 2024

Matheus Nicolau Brandon Royval: win · KO (Knee and Elbows) · Apr 15, 2023Manel Kape: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jan 13, 2024

Kai Kara-France Brandon Royval: win · Submission (Guillotine Choke) · Sep 26, 2020 Manel Kape: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Sep 9, 2023

Tale of the tape

Brandon RoyvalManel Kape

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.54Sig. strikes landed per min4.68

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

42Sig. strike accuracy55

UFC flyweight average : 44%

4.25Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.88

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

43Sig. strike defense57

UFC flyweight average : 55%

0.65Takedown average0.36

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

75Takedown accuracy20

UFC flyweight average : 26%

45Takedown defense79

UFC flyweight average : 57%

1.08Submission average0.24

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

4Wins by knockout15

10Wins by submission5

4Wins by decision3

2Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission2

6Losses by decision5

Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 317 : TOPURIA VS OLIVEIRA. Brandon Royval enters with a 18-9-0 record and Manel Kape enters with a 23-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.