Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-7-0Record15-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
75"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamRange Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Christian Leroy Duncan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1828
If they lose-14→ 1804
If they win+19→ 1780
If they lose-13→ 1748
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brendan AllenChristian Leroy Duncan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen73%
Christian Leroy Duncan 27%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 73% favorite over Christian Leroy Duncan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1761, a 57-point edge.
Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Christian Leroy Duncan 73%.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.