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Brendan AllenW W W L L · +2 Elo last 5
WWWLL
Christian Leroy DuncanW W W W W · +81 Elo last 5
WWWWW
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan
DateOct 10, 2026
DivisionMiddleweight
StatusScheduled
VenueMeta APEX
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch
Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.
- US East (ET)
- Sat 8:00 PM
- US West (PT)
- Sat 5:00 PM
- United Kingdom
- Sun 1:00 AM
- Central Europe
- Sun 2:00 AM
- Australia (Sydney)
- Sun 11:00 AM
- Your time
Brendan Allen
Elo1818Great
3Y trend1796 → 1818
Fight Overview
Round5
Time5:00
27-7-0Record15-2-0
30Age31
6'2"Height6'2"
75"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight
Christian Leroy Duncan
Elo1761Great
3Y trend1678 → 1761
Combat Edge Intelligence
Fight Intelligence
Brendan Allen owns a 57-point Elo edge (great). Brendan Allen shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.
Compare Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan across their careers →Elo Recent career Elo trajectory
Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.
Brendan AllenChristian Leroy Duncan
Elo edge
Brendan Allen1818+9 last move
Christian Leroy Duncan1761+14 last move
Model forecast and your pick
Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.
Combat Edge Model
Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28Fight forecast
51%Brendan Allen49%Christian Leroy Duncan
Model favoriteBrendan Allen
Elo baseline58% for Brendan Allen
Matchup adjustment-7 pts vs Elo
Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.
Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.
Forecast context
Model + Elo agreeWhat separates the fighters
Brendan Allen leads the full model at 51%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 7 points.
Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?
Pick every bout on this card →Your pick stays private unless you choose to share a completed card.
Stat advantages
Brendan AllenvsChristian Leroy Duncan
Takedown accuracy
4%vs0%
Submission average
1.06vs0
Takedown average
1.52vs0.43
Sig. strikes absorbed per min
3.78vs2.36
Finishing profile
Brendan Allensubmission leads 52% of wins
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO leads 67% of wins
Common opponents
Roman DolidzeBrendan Allen: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Dec 4, 2021Christian Leroy Duncan: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Mar 21, 2026
Eryk AndersBrendan Allen: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 23, 2017Christian Leroy Duncan: win · TKO (spinning back elbow and punches) · Aug 9, 2025
Tale of the tape
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN. Brendan Allen enters with a 27-7-0 record and Christian Leroy Duncan enters with a 15-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan quick answers
When is Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan is listed for UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN on Oct 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST.
What event is Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan on?
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan is listed on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN.
What are the records for Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
Brendan Allen enters with a 27-7-0 record and Christian Leroy Duncan enters with a 15-2-0 record.
What division is Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan is listed as a Middleweight fight.
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