Combat Edge Intelligence

Brogan Walker vs Iasmin Lucindo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record18-6-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
67"Reach66″
126 lbsWeight115 lbs

What's at stake

Iasmin Lucindo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Brogan Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brogan WalkerNow 1532
If they win+24→ 1556
If they lose-8→ 1524
Iasmin LucindoNow 1711
If they win+8→ 1719
If they lose-24→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
31%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
47%
Strike defense
66%
0
Takedown avg.
2.15
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
11%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Brogan WalkerIasmin Lucindo
1550160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
1 (14%)
Submission
3 (17%)
6 (86%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Iasmin Lucindo92%
Brogan Walker 8%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Iasmin Lucindo a 92% favorite over Brogan Walker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Iasmin Lucindo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1532, a 179-point edge.

Brogan Walker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brogan Walker finishes 14% of wins inside the distance, Iasmin Lucindo 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.