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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruce Whitehead vs Jacobe Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record12-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach72"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
W4R Training Center· 1599 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Jacobe Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Bruce Whitehead carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bruce WhiteheadNow 1615
If they win+21→ 1636
If they lose-11→ 1604
Jacobe SmithNow 1733
If they win+11→ 1744
If they lose-21→ 1712

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
6.89
Not available
Strike accuracy
68%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.78
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
7.78
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Bruce WhiteheadJacobe Smith
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
3 (38%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (38%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacobe Smith76%
Bruce Whitehead 24%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacobe Smith a 76% favorite over Bruce Whitehead in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Jacobe Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1615, a 118-point edge.

Bruce Whitehead enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jacobe Smith enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Bruce Whitehead finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jacobe Smith 83%.

Bruce Whitehead and Jacobe Smith share 1 common opponent: Jared McLoughlin.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
Jared McLoughlin
WinKO (Punches) · 2024