Bruna Ellen vs Hilarie Rose
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
TBDReachTBD
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Team Nogueira CampinasTeamUSMMA
What's at stake
Bruna Ellen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Hilarie Rose carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1547
If they lose-18→ 1515
If they win+18→ 1506
If they lose-14→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bruna EllenHilarie Rose
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bruna Ellen58%
Hilarie Rose 42%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Bruna Ellen a 58% favorite over Hilarie Rose in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Bruna Ellen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1533 to 1488, a 45-point edge.
Bruna Ellen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bruna Ellen finishes 14% of wins inside the distance, Hilarie Rose 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.