Hilarie Rose vs Bruna Ellen

DateOct 23, 2026

DivisionStrawweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePremier Theater at Foxwoods Resort Casino

BroadcastVICE TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 23, 2026 — watch on VICE TV.

US East (ET): Fri 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 12:00 PM
Your time

Hilarie Rose11-7-0Hilarie Rose vs Bruna EllenBruna Ellen7-5-0

Hilarie Rose11-7-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

11-7-0Record7-5-0

33Age30

5'3"Height5'4"

TBDReachTBD

116 lbsWeight115 lbs

StrawweightWeight ClassStrawweight

Bruna Ellen7-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Bruna Ellen owns a 45-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Hilarie Rose and Bruna Ellen across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Hilarie RoseBruna Ellen

Recent form

Hilarie RoseW L L L W · -19 Elo last 5

WLLLW

Bruna EllenL L W L W · -15 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Elo edge

Hilarie Rose1488+20 last move

Bruna Ellen1533-18 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

35%Hilarie Rose65%Bruna Ellen

Model favoriteBruna Ellen

Elo baseline56% for Bruna Ellen

Matchup adjustment+9 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Bruna EllenStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Bruna Ellen leads the full model at 65%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 8 points.

Current Elo ratings1488 · 1533Bruna Ellen leads by 45 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1490 · 1533Bruna Ellen faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth14 · 14 fightsThe published ratings use the same number of counted fights.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Hilarie RosevsBruna Ellen

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Hilarie RoseKO/TKO leads 27% of wins

Bruna Ellendecision leads 86% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Hilarie RoseBruna Ellen

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.33Sig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.00

34Sig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 45%

6.13Sig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.06

44Sig. strike defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 54%

0Takedown averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 1.38

0Takedown accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 32%

100Takedown defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 60%

0Submission averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 0.42

3Wins by knockout1

3Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision6

2Losses by knockout0

3Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision5

Hilarie Rose vs Bruna Ellen is a scheduled Strawweight fight on LFA 244 : WOODLEY VS HAVENER. Hilarie Rose enters with a 11-7-0 record and Bruna Ellen enters with a 7-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.