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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brunno Ferreira vs Dustin Stoltzfus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record17-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFrankers Fight Team

What's at stake

Brunno Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Dustin Stoltzfus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brunno FerreiraNow 1707
If they win+14→ 1721
If they lose-18→ 1689
Dustin StoltzfusNow 1660
If they win+14→ 1674
If they lose-10→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.30
49%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
52%
Strike defense
48%
1
Takedown avg.
2.08
0%
Takedown accuracy
10%
50%
Takedown defense
47%
0.60
Submission avg.
1.11

Trajectory

Brunno FerreiraDustin Stoltzfus
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
5 (33%)
Submission
7 (44%)
1 (7%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Brunno Ferreira63%
Dustin Stoltzfus 37%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Brunno Ferreira a 63% favorite over Dustin Stoltzfus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Brunno Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1660, a 47-point edge.

Brunno Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brunno Ferreira finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Stoltzfus 63%.

Brunno Ferreira and Dustin Stoltzfus share 2 common opponents: Abus Magomedov and Nursulton Ruziboev.

Dustin Stoltzfus carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossKO/TKO · 2023
Nursulton Ruziboev
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossSubmission · 2024
Abus Magomedov
LossKO · 2022