Brunno Ferreira vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Brunno Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marvin Vettori carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1737
If they lose-18→ 1705
If they win+13→ 1701
If they lose-11→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brunno FerreiraMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brunno Ferreira61%
Marvin Vettori 39%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Brunno Ferreira a 61% favorite over Marvin Vettori in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Brunno Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1688, a 35-point edge.
Brunno Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brunno Ferreira finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Marvin Vettori carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.