AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Brunno Ferreira vs Marvin Vettori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Marvin Vettori
it

Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”

19-11-1MiddleweightUFC

1676Good

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record19-11-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Brunno Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marvin Vettori carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brunno FerreiraNow 1707
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-17→ 1690
Marvin VettoriNow 1676
If they win+13→ 1689
If they lose-11→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.27
Sig. strikes / min
4.74
49%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.55
52%
Strike defense
56%
1
Takedown avg.
1.41
0%
Takedown accuracy
11%
50%
Takedown defense
69%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Brunno FerreiraMarvin Vettori
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
5 (33%)
Submission
9 (47%)
1 (7%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Marvin Vettori53%
Brunno Ferreira 47%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 53% favorite over Brunno Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brunno Ferreira's way (46%).

Brunno Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1676, a 31-point edge.

Brunno Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marvin Vettori enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Brunno Ferreira finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.

Marvin Vettori carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.