Bruno Silva vs Ismail Naurdiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-0Record25-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach74"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamTop Team Salzburg
What's at stake
Ismail Naurdiev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Bruno Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1664
If they lose-15→ 1632
If they win+11→ 1677
If they lose-13→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SilvaIsmail Naurdiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismail Naurdiev66%
Bruno Silva 34%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 66% favorite over Bruno Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ismail Naurdiev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1647, a 19-point edge.
Bruno Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Bruno Silva finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Ismail Naurdiev 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.