Bryan Barberena vs Matt Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record24-19-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gym-OTeamImmortal Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan BarberenaMatt Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryan Barberena60%
Matt Brown 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryan Barberena a 60% favorite over Matt Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1624), separated by just 3 points.
Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Bryan Barberena finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Matt Brown 92%.
Matt Brown carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.