Bryan Barberena vs Rafael dos Anjos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record32-18-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
72"Reach70"
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gym-OTeamRDA Academy
What's at stake
Rafael dos Anjos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Bryan Barberena carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1641
If they lose-10→ 1617
If they win+10→ 1708
If they lose-14→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bryan BarberenaRafael dos Anjos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael dos Anjos70%
Bryan Barberena 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 70% favorite over Bryan Barberena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Rafael dos Anjos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1627, a 71-point edge.
Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Bryan Barberena finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.
Bryan Barberena carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.