Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Mitchell vs Urijah Faber

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Urijah Faber
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Urijah Faber

“The California Kid”

35-11-0BantamweightUFC

1777Great

Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record35-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Barata MMATeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce MitchellNow 1776
If they win+16→ 1792
If they lose-16→ 1760
Urijah FaberNow 1777
If they win+12→ 1789
If they lose-12→ 1765

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1700 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
59%
Strike accuracy
41%
1.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
59%
Strike defense
64%
3.24
Takedown avg.
1.54
36%
Takedown accuracy
30%
33%
Takedown defense
58%
1.19
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Bryce MitchellUrijah Faber
175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
10 (29%)
10 (53%)
Submission
17 (50%)
8 (42%)
Decision
7 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryce Mitchell73%
Urijah Faber 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Mitchell a 73% favorite over Urijah Faber in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Urijah Faber's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1776 vs 1777), separated by just 1 points.

Bryce Mitchell enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bryce Mitchell finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Urijah Faber 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.