César Almeida vs Donte Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record9-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'8"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight209 lbs
What's at stake
Donte Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — César Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1616
If they win+19→ 1725
If they lose-29→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
César AlmeidaDonte Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Donte Johnson68%
César Almeida 32%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 68% favorite over César Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Donte Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1628, a 78-point edge.
César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Donte Johnson enters on a 9-fight win streak.
César Almeida finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Donte Johnson 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.