Caio Borralho vs Gregory Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1804
If they lose-17→ 1772
If they win+12→ 1789
If they lose-12→ 1765
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Caio BorralhoGregory Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregory Rodrigues71%
Caio Borralho 29%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 71% favorite over Caio Borralho in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Caio Borralho's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1789 vs 1777), separated by just 12 points.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gregory Rodrigues 75%.
Caio Borralho and Gregory Rodrigues share 1 common opponent: Jared Cannonier.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.