Caio Borralho vs Michał Oleksiejczuk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1704 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow
What's at stake
Caio Borralho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Michał Oleksiejczuk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1807
If they lose-20→ 1775
If they win+15→ 1712
If they lose-9→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caio BorralhoMichał Oleksiejczuk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caio Borralho62%
Michał Oleksiejczuk 38%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 62% favorite over Michał Oleksiejczuk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Caio Borralho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1697, a 98-point edge.
Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.
Caio Borralho and Michał Oleksiejczuk share 1 common opponent: Abus Magomedov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.