Calvin Kattar vs Youssef Zalal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record18-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Carlos Neto BJJTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Youssef Zalal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Calvin Kattar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1710
If they lose-11→ 1686
If they win+11→ 1746
If they lose-13→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Calvin KattarYoussef Zalal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Youssef Zalal73%
Calvin Kattar 27%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Youssef Zalal a 73% favorite over Calvin Kattar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Youssef Zalal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1697, a 38-point edge.
Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Calvin Kattar finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Youssef Zalal 78%.
Calvin Kattar and Youssef Zalal share 2 common opponents: Aljamain Sterling and Josh Emmett.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.