Camillo Avellan vs Martin Leon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record5-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
H2O MMA· 1649 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Weichafe· 1527 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Camillo Avellan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Martin Leon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1644
If they lose-27→ 1596
If they win+27→ 1606
If they lose-21→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Camillo AvellanMartin Leon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Camillo Avellan54%
Martin Leon 46%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Camillo Avellan a 54% favorite over Martin Leon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Camillo Avellan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1579, a 44-point edge.
Camillo Avellan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Camillo Avellan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Martin Leon 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.