Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record8-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Carli Judice is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Jeisla Chaves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1676
If they lose-26→ 1628
If they win+26→ 1648
If they lose-22→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carli JudiceJeisla Chaves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carli Judice76%
Jeisla Chaves 24%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 76% favorite over Jeisla Chaves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Carli Judice holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1622, a 32-point edge.
Carli Judice enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Carli Judice finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jeisla Chaves 50%.
Carli Judice and Jeisla Chaves share 1 common opponent: Yuneisy Duben.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.