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Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Candelario vs Sim Kai Xiong

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record6-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"ReachTBD
129 lbsWeight126 lbs
Underdog Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Highlight Reel

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos CandelarioNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Sim Kai XiongNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.97
Sig. strikes / min
3.19
47%
Strike accuracy
64%
5.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.56
44%
Strike defense
47%
2.28
Takedown avg.
6.84
36%
Takedown accuracy
29%
54%
Takedown defense
0%
0.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos CandelarioSim Kai Xiong
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
3 (38%)
Submission
3 (50%)
3 (38%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Sim Kai Xiong58%
Carlos Candelario 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sim Kai Xiong a 58% favorite over Carlos Candelario in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Candelario's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.

Carlos Candelario enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlos Candelario finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Sim Kai Xiong 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.