Carlos Leal vs Randy Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-7-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"Reach78"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Thai Brasil· 1663 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBudokan Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Randy Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Carlos Leal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1731
If they lose-11→ 1707
If they win+11→ 1753
If they lose-13→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos LealRandy Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Brown56%
Carlos Leal 44%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Brown a 56% favorite over Carlos Leal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Randy Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1742 to 1718, a 24-point edge.
Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlos Leal finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.
Carlos Leal and Randy Brown share 1 common opponent: Muslim Salikhov.
Randy Brown carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.