Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Mota vs Stewart Nicoll

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record8-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pr1meira FightTeamBroz Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos MotaNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Stewart NicollNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
41%
Strike accuracy
39%
1.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.84
54%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
1.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
4%
50%
Takedown defense
29%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos MotaStewart Nicoll
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (38%)
4 (50%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Carlos Mota and Stewart Nicoll within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1591), separated by just 1 points.

Carlos Mota enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stewart Nicoll enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Carlos Mota finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Stewart Nicoll 88%.

Carlos Mota carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.