AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Petruzzella vs Jared Cannonier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record18-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brothers of Life MMATeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos PetruzzellaNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Jared CannonierNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1763 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.35
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.54
Not available
Takedown accuracy
4%
Not available
Takedown defense
65%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos PetruzzellaJared Cannonier
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
11 (61%)
8 (53%)
Submission
2 (11%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Jared Cannonier73%
Carlos Petruzzella 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jared Cannonier a 73% favorite over Carlos Petruzzella in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1693), separated by just 1 points.

Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlos Petruzzella finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.

Jared Cannonier carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.