Carlos Prates vs Michael Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record19-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
78″Reach 79"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vale Top Team· 1672 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1674 avg Elo · 13 rated
What's at stake
Michael Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Carlos Prates carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1803
If they lose-10→ 1779
If they win+14→ 1854
If they lose-18→ 1822
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos PratesMichael Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Morales58%
Carlos Prates 42%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Morales a 58% favorite over Carlos Prates in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Michael Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1840 to 1789, a 51-point edge.
Carlos Prates enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Michael Morales enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Carlos Prates finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Michael Morales 79%.
Carlos Prates and Michael Morales share 2 common opponents: Neil Magny and Trevin Giles.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.