Casey O'Neill vs Katlyn Cerminara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record18-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'9"
69"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Renzo Gracie
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Casey O'NeillKatlyn Cerminara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Casey O'Neill54%
Katlyn Cerminara 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Casey O'Neill a 54% favorite over Katlyn Cerminara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Katlyn Cerminara's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1704), separated by just 2 points.
Casey O'Neill enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Casey O'Neill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Katlyn Cerminara 17%.
Casey O'Neill and Katlyn Cerminara share 2 common opponents: Jennifer Maia and Antonina Shevchenko.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019