Casey O'Neill vs Regina Tarin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record9-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamBonebreakers MMA· 1626 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
If they win+24→ 1723
If they lose-24→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Casey O'NeillRegina Tarin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Casey O'Neill61%
Regina Tarin 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Casey O'Neill a 61% favorite over Regina Tarin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1699), separated by just 3 points.
Casey O'Neill enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Regina Tarin enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Casey O'Neill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Regina Tarin 67%.
Casey O'Neill carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.