Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Anheliger vs Jose Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record16-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height6'0"
64"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamTwin Wolves MMA

What's at stake

Chad Anheliger is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jose Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chad AnheligerNow 1633
If they win+15→ 1648
If they lose-17→ 1616
Jose JohnsonNow 1608
If they win+13→ 1621
If they lose-11→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.11
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
46%
Strike accuracy
58%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
54%
Strike defense
53%
0.68
Takedown avg.
0.71
31%
Takedown accuracy
60%
38%
Takedown defense
39%
0.51
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Chad AnheligerJose Johnson
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
3 (23%)
Submission
3 (19%)
3 (23%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jose Johnson60%
Chad Anheliger 40%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Jose Johnson a 60% favorite over Chad Anheliger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Anheliger's way (46%).

Chad Anheliger holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1608, a 25-point edge.

Jose Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chad Anheliger finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jose Johnson 69%.

Jose Johnson carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.