Chad Anheliger vs Mitch Gagnon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-9-0Record12-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
64"Reach65,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Champion's Creed MMA· 1635 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTroop MMA
What's at stake
Mitch Gagnon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chad Anheliger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1629
If they lose-15→ 1597
If they win+15→ 1647
If they lose-17→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chad AnheligerMitch Gagnon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Anheliger69%
Mitch Gagnon 31%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Anheliger a 69% favorite over Mitch Gagnon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mitch Gagnon's way (47%).
Mitch Gagnon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1632 to 1612, a 20-point edge.
Chad Anheliger enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mitch Gagnon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chad Anheliger finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Gagnon 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.