Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Anheliger vs Mitch Gagnon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record12-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
64"Reach65,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamTroop MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad AnheligerNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Mitch GagnonNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.11
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
46%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.21
54%
Strike defense
62%
0.68
Takedown avg.
1.16
31%
Takedown accuracy
25%
38%
Takedown defense
66%
0.51
Submission avg.
1.93

Trajectory

Chad AnheligerMitch Gagnon
165020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
3 (23%)
Submission
10 (83%)
3 (23%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chad Anheliger and Mitch Gagnon within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1631), separated by just 2 points.

Mitch Gagnon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chad Anheliger finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Gagnon 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.