Chang Ho Lee vs Long Xiao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record27-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach70"
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
Chang Ho Lee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Long Xiao carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1717
If they lose-18→ 1685
If they win+13→ 1680
If they lose-11→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chang Ho LeeLong Xiao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Long Xiao58%
Chang Ho Lee 42%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 58% favorite over Chang Ho Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chang Ho Lee's way (45%).
Chang Ho Lee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1667, a 36-point edge.
Long Xiao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chang Ho Lee finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Long Xiao 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.