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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chang Ho Lee vs Timmy Cuamba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Timmy Cuamba
us

Timmy Cuamba

“Twilight Timmy”

10-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1653Good

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record10-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach71"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
Monster HouseTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Chang Ho Lee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Timmy Cuamba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chang Ho LeeNow 1703
If they win+14→ 1717
If they lose-18→ 1685
Timmy CuambaNow 1653
If they win+18→ 1671
If they lose-14→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.92
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
67%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
40%
Strike defense
58%
3.27
Takedown avg.
1.31
33%
Takedown accuracy
32%
38%
Takedown defense
72%
0.36
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chang Ho LeeTimmy Cuamba
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
1 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Timmy Cuamba52%
Chang Ho Lee 48%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Timmy Cuamba a 52% favorite over Chang Ho Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chang Ho Lee's way (43%).

Chang Ho Lee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1653, a 50-point edge.

Chang Ho Lee finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Timmy Cuamba 50%.

Timmy Cuamba carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.