Charles Johnson vs Muhammad Mokaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record16-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1698 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKHK MMA Team· 1681 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Muhammad Mokaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Charles Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1721
If they lose-9→ 1697
If they win+12→ 1817
If they lose-20→ 1785
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles JohnsonMuhammad Mokaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Mokaev83%
Charles Johnson 17%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Mokaev a 83% favorite over Charles Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Muhammad Mokaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1706, a 99-point edge.
Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Charles Johnson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Mokaev 63%.
Charles Johnson and Muhammad Mokaev share 1 common opponent: Alex Perez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.