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Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record26-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charles OliveiraNow 1812
If they win+12→ 1824
If they lose-12→ 1800
Mateusz GamrotNow 1814
If they win+12→ 1826
If they lose-12→ 1802

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1767 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
56%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
49%
Strike defense
60%
2.29
Takedown avg.
5.22
23%
Takedown accuracy
9%
55%
Takedown defense
83%
2.59
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Charles OliveiraMateusz Gamrot
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (27%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
22 (59%)
Submission
6 (23%)
5 (14%)
Decision
12 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Oliveira54%
Mateusz Gamrot 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 54% favorite over Mateusz Gamrot in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mateusz Gamrot's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1812 vs 1814), separated by just 2 points.

Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Charles Oliveira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Gamrot 54%.

Charles Oliveira and Mateusz Gamrot share 2 common opponents: Arman Tsarukyan and Beneil Dariush.

Charles Oliveira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO/TKO · 2023
Beneil Dariush
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
LossDecision - Split · 2024
Arman Tsarukyan
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022