Charles Radtke vs Stephen Thompson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record17-9-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Stephen Thompson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Charles Radtke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1675
If they lose-14→ 1643
If they win+14→ 1716
If they lose-18→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charles RadtkeStephen Thompson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stephen Thompson68%
Charles Radtke 32%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Thompson a 68% favorite over Charles Radtke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Stephen Thompson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1657, a 45-point edge.
Charles Radtke enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Charles Radtke finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Thompson 53%.
Stephen Thompson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.