Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Jay Jay Wilson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-5-1Record12-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamAlliance Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase HooperNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Jay Jay WilsonNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
2.43
Takedown avg.
TBD
2%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.08
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chase HooperJay Jay Wilson
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
9 (53%)
Submission
4 (33%)
4 (24%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chase Hooper and Jay Jay Wilson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1704), separated by just 2 points.

Chase Hooper finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jay Jay Wilson 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.